Sunday, 5 July 2026

I've been a trucker for nearly 5 decades. AI made the job safer, but autonomous trucks still need to prove themselves.

Ingrid Brown stands in front of a truck.
Veteran truck driver Ingrid Brown said technology, from the cellphone to AI-powered dashcams, has made the job safer.
  • Ingrid Brown has been a professional trucker for nearly 47 years.
  • Brown said that the driver's job has evolved technologically to be safer over the years.
  • She's not yet sold on autonomous trucks and wants to see the technology validated first.

This as-told-to essay is based on a conversation with Ingrid Brown, a professional truck driver and operations manager at Blackjack Express LLC. It has been edited for length and clarity.

When I first started truck driving, I only had a CB radio.

There was no telephone, no communications, and no technology for anybody to know where I parked at night.

Especially as a woman, I thought about things like whether I was parked in a safe place. If I didn't move my truck in the morning, how is somebody going to know whether something's happened to me?

Now, AI and other technology can tell me if there's a deer in front of me. It can tell me if one of my drivers is dozing off or daydreaming. It can remind me to pay attention to the road.

Technology has gotten to a point where I'm accepting of it. It can help prevent what could go wrong next.

Autonomous trucks are different. I'm open to the conversation. But until it can prove to me that there will not be any type of loss of life, I'm going to sit back and watch it.

Truck drivers were their own patrol

I'm from Boone, North Carolina, and started driving trucks in 1979.

My first truck was a '79 Diamond Reo. Once I got a taste of going to different places and experiencing different cultures, I fell in love with 80,000 pounds of iron. My haul has included cows, steel, produce, and dynamite. The last time I counted, I had 5.7 million safe driving miles.

A woman in a truck.
Ingrid Brown by her truck in 2002.

Back then, safety really depended on the person behind the wheel. It depended on how well you did pre-trips or safety inspections before you hit the road. It depended on how well you chose to drive, how well you understood the hours you should be running, and how many hours you actually physically can run to keep everything safe. You were your own patrol. You were your own self-discipline.

Of course, we had rules. For example, we followed designated hours of service. But that was partly on you. You logged your hours on paper. I can tell you that back then, I may have rewritten the life of a day.

We only had each other to rely on. That's how we learned this business. There was no technology to say it.

The phone changed my whole world of safety

The first piece of technology that really changed my job was the phone.

It was a connection to me. I would call to get directions. I would call to see if my appointment time was good.

If something went bad, that phone was there for me to call and say, "Hey, I've got this load on me. I'm in traffic. I'm going to be 30 minutes late." And the time saved was unreal.

I'm all about adapting. I was never a computer girl because I'm a '61 baby, but I wasn't letting myself fall behind.

My first resistance to technology was with Motive, a fleet technology company, back when it was still KeepTruckin. The company provides electronic logs, tracking, maintenance, driver coaching, and AI-powered dashcam systems.

At the time, I didn't want to be monitored. Nobody needs to know when I stopped to go to the bathroom. I didn't want someone telling me how to do my job.

Later on, I found it to be a good helpmate. It took a lot off me. For example, I didn't have to sit up during my breaks to do paperwork.

The camera system also protects drivers when things happen because it tells the true story.

That's the kind of technology I look for. I don't just want to know what went wrong before. I want something that's going to prevent something from going wrong next.

I'm still watching autonomous trucks

I've worked with some autonomous trucking companies because they've come to me as a sounding board to ask questions.

I have some questions too, before I can give my full opinion on autonomous trucks.

I'll say that there's a lot of unpredictability that truck drivers are accustomed to.

I can see a car half a mile or a mile in front of me, and I can watch it and predict what it might do. If he turns left, I'm going to slow down prior to that. If he turns right, I can move left way ahead of time.

I haven't been shown yet that an autonomous truck can do that before a situation is already in motion.

But I want to learn more. My experience with other technology made me realize I need to quit being closed-minded because I could be missing a lot.

In a world where autonomous trucking is validated, I could see them handling local hauls or short-run jobs. As far as the long hauls, I'll gladly stay behind them.

Also, I've been a trucker for almost 47 years. I've got employees who drive the trucks I run, and I still drive myself.

I wouldn't want to see people who have lived their lives and are giving their lives to the trucking industry go without a paycheck because somebody created something they think is bigger and better.

This is where I'm talking about the empathy, the thought, the concern, and the care. Why would you want to take people's jobs away from them?

Truckers don't need to go anywhere. They need the tools and the help, along with what they already have within themselves, to make sure every single person around them is as safe as they are.

Read the original article on Business Insider


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NATO's eastern flank prepares to fend off Russia — with or without America

A guard patrols the newly built fence along the Russia-Finland border in Finland's North Karelia region.
A guard patrols the newly built fence along the Russia-Finland border in Finland's North Karelia region.

NORTH KARELIA, Finland — Bears, wolves and moose still cross the frontier freely, but for the border guards patrolling this stretch of fields and forest, this is where NATO ends.

A line of wooden poles and painted markers cuts through the light green grass, separating Finland from Russia along the alliance's longest border with Moscow — 1,343 kilometers (835 miles) of increasingly militarized territory. The crossing has been closed since 2023, the year after the Kremlin's full-scale invasion of Ukraine. On the other side lies land Finland lost to the Soviet Union when it was left to fight largely on its own in the early months of World War II.

Reporters from Axel Springer's Global Reporters Network traveled to three exposed stretches of Europe's eastern frontier — Finland's forested border with Russia, Poland's fortified line with Kaliningrad and Belarus and Lithuania's vulnerable edge near the Suwałki Gap — to see how ready NATO's frontline states are for the possibility that Moscow will attack the alliance.

What we observed was a continent racing to harden its eastern edge against a threat it can no longer assume Washington will handle. As US President Donald Trump questions old security guarantees and looks to reduce America's military footprint in Europe, the countries closest to Russia are building fortifications, expanding reserves, buying tanks and drones and preparing for the possibility that the first days of any conflict may be theirs to fight largely alone.

Since his reelection in 2024, Trump has repeatedly called into question Washington's commitment to NATO's Article 5, the foundational clause under which an attack on one member is treated as an attack on all. The uncertainty only deepened after the war in Iran, when the president and his team threatened to reassess US membership in NATO in response to European allies' refusal to join the conflict.

"You have to be careful when you sleep next to a bear.Col. Matti Pitkäniitty

Meanwhile, satellite imagery shows that Russia has built up its armed presence along its border with Finland and other EU countries, building barracks and staging military vehicles in what the head of Swedish military intelligence has described as preparation for a possible confrontation with NATO.

"Russia is a superpower, and we're a small country," said Col. Matti Pitkäniitty, commander of Finland's North Karelia Border Guard District, while driving to the border. "You have to be careful when you sleep next to a bear."

Finland never forgot the lessons of what it calls its Winter War, when it halted an unprovoked attack in 1939 by the Soviet dictator Joseph Stalin but lost roughly a tenth of its territory. While much of the rest of Europe spent the decades after the Cold War cutting armies and cashing in the peace dividend, Helsinki kept conscription, maintained vast reserves and built its defenses around the assumption that Russia might one day come back.

"In the Winter War, Finland felt very alone, with very little help from other countries," said Pitkäniitty.

A dozen Finnish defense officials, military officers, lawmakers and analysts interviewed for this article described their nation as unsurprised by Russia's 2022 assault on Ukraine. And even after Finland joined NATO in 2023, Helsinki has continued to view the alliance as a reinforcement of its own defense, rather than a substitute for it.

"We're happy to be in an alliance, but we still understand that we will take the first blow alone, before NATO's Article 5 is activated," said Jukka Kopra, a Finnish lawmaker who chaired the parliament's defense committee, referring to the mutual defense clause that underpins the alliance.

"We trust the US as our ally, a member of NATO, but we realize they have crucial interests elsewhere," Kopra said.

Finland: 'Total defense'

A US Chinook helicopter carrying British paratroopers took part in NATO exercises, led by the Finnish military, at a training ground less than 30 miles from the Russian border.
A US Chinook helicopter carrying British paratroopers took part in NATO exercises, led by the Finnish military, at a training ground less than 30 miles from the Russian border.

Over decades, Finland built its preparedness around the concept of "total defense" — a mobilizable population, civil resilience, shelters and a military designed to keep fighting with or without allies. The country can mobilize nearly 870,000 reservists out of a population of 5.6 million, a figure set to reach one million by 2031.

"It's fair to say Finland is more ready to fight alone than other frontline countries. The US wind-down doesn't impact its readiness," said Eoin Micheál McNamara, a postdoctoral fellow at the Finnish Institute of International Affairs.

Finland spends nearly 3 percent of its GDP on defense and, in line with its commitments to NATO, it intends to raise that figure to 5 percent by 2035. Its air force expects to receive US-made F-35 fighter jets in the coming months. Like most European militaries, the Finnish armed forces are still catching up on drone warfare, but on land they have one of Europe's largest artillery arsenals.

"Stalin called artillery the god of war," said McNamara. "Unlike a lot of Western countries, Russia never forgot about artillery. Finns never forgot either."

One of Finland's greatest military assets is the land itself. An army invading from the east would have to move through a country of few roads, dense forests, deep snow and freezing temperatures, with little light in winter and almost none of the darkness that conceals movement in summer. In the woods, long, slender gray-white trunks stand so close together that it is impossible to see more than 50 meters ahead. In spring, when the leaves turn bright green, visibility drops even further.

Finland's army relies on artillery like this 155mm self-propelled howitzer.
Finland's army relies on artillery like this 155mm self-propelled howitzer.

Even without the US, it's unlikely Finland would have to fight entirely on its own. Several European countries have an interest in keeping Russia off NATO's northern flank, according to Charly Salonius-Pasternak of the Helsinki-based Nordic West Office think tank, referring specifically to Norway, Sweden and the UK.

Still, Finland would face a Russian army with more manpower and a willingness to use sheer numbers in ways the alliance cannot easily match. "Since the Winter War, the very basics haven't changed," said Pitkäniitty, the border guard commander. "We have to be able to use the terrain, operate the environment better than anyone else — then, we have leverage," he added. "Is the forest a typical Russian battle environment? I would say no. Their lessons are learned in more open environments."

Finland is now trying to teach its NATO allies how to fight on that ground. In May, two multinational exercises in southeastern Finland — Northern Star 26 and Karelian Sword 26 — were designed in part to show troops from countries including France and the United Kingdom how to operate in Northern Europe's forests, lakes and swamps. US soldiers from the Virginia National Guard also took part.

Karelian Sword — conducted in Finland's Vekaranjärvi region — involved some 10,000 soldiers in a simulated invasion of the country. One main takeaway from days of drilling in the woods was that armored vehicles and drones are ill-adapted for Finland's forests. "It's also very hard for commercial drones to find Finnish troops in the forest because of the leaves, unless you have a thermal camera," according to Col. Ari Määttä, the Karelian brigade's deputy commander who commanded the exercise.

The Nordic country is also preparing to add another obstacle. Alongside Poland and the three Baltic states, Helsinki withdrew last year from the Ottawa Convention banning anti-personnel landmines, arguing that Russia never joined the treaty and is already using the weapons in Ukraine.

Several Finnish military officers confirmed to the Global Reporters Network that the country's defense forces plan to purchase anti-personnel landmines in the coming months. The mines would not be deployed in peacetime, they said, but would be available if the threat of a Russian invasion became more imminent.

"We have quite a long border with Russia," said First Lt. Terra Tevajärvi, a 33-year-old reservist and trained mechanized infantry officer who works as a filmmaker. Standing in a clearing, with the sounds of gunshots in the distance, he added: "Landmines would help slow [an attacker] down and make our lives easier."

Nuclear gap

France has proposed deploying jets like the Dassault Rafale fighter, which is capable of carrying a nuclear-armed cruise missile, to allied countries.
France has proposed deploying jets like the Dassault Rafale fighter, which is capable of carrying a nuclear-armed cruise missile, to allied countries.

There is one domain where geography, conscription and military readiness offer little protection: nuclear weapons. While Finland has practiced for a conventional defense for decades, it is only since it joined NATO three years ago that it has had to incorporate nuclear deterrence into its calculations.

Since joining the alliance, Helsinki has participated in its Nuclear Planning Group, taken part in nuclear exercises and begun rewriting laws that still reflected its long history outside the alliance. In June, Finnish lawmakers lifted restrictions on the transport and storage of nuclear weapons on Finnish territory, a legacy of its non-nuclear posture before NATO membership.

Changing that framework had proven more contentious than the discussion about joining NATO itself. Opposition parties resisted lifting the restrictions, while officials and analysts argued that Finland could not be a full participant in NATO defense planning without understanding how nuclear deterrence works. "Readiness in that regard is being learned," said McNamara. "You hear the phrase: 'Finland needs to upgrade its nuclear IQ as a society.'"

Finland's nuclear debate highlighted an uncomfortable truth. While the country is better positioned than most frontline countries to defend its territory without American ground forces, it's no more able than the rest of Europe to replace Washington's nuclear umbrella.

While the US has not publicly questioned that guarantee, the Trump administration's unpredictability has pushed Helsinki and other European capitals to examine whether Europe can build a stronger deterrent of its own.

After meeting with France's top general in the Finnish capital in June, the country's Defense Minister Antti Häkkänen acknowledged talks with Paris about French President Emmanuel Macron's proposal to broaden his country's nuclear deterrent to include other European countries. The French president, who officially proposed the idea in March, has left what he means by it purposefully ambiguous. Paris has floated joint exercises and temporary deployments of nuclear-capable French fighter jets, but not a formal European nuclear guarantee. For Finland, it is still unclear what participation in the scheme would mean.

In the meantime, Helsinki is hoping that hosting troops from two nuclear-armed allies — France and the UK — will add another layer of deterrence, even if the force itself is conventional. Paris and London have expressed interest in participating in a NATO battalion that will be based in Sweden but operate in northern Finland. Designed to strengthen the alliance's presence in the high north, the force will be led by Stockholm, another formerly neutral government that joined the military alliance after Moscow's invasion of Ukraine.

"We'll be on high alert, with high readiness to act," said Col. Daniel Rydberg, who leads Sweden's NATO mission in northern Finland. Along with Finnish border guards, NATO troops would be among the first responders if Russia decided to test Finland, he said in a phone interview the day before the force's inauguration in June. "The message to Russia is deterrence," he said.

Just what that would mean in the case of an attack by the Kremlin will depend on people like Nuutti Kurikka, a 20-year-old conscript whose great-grandfather fought in the Winter War.

Deep in the Finnish forest, Kurikka, a platoon leader, stood in front of a tank. The lesson of that war, he said, is "a mentality that we can overcome very hard things."

Unlike officials in many European capitals, he is not anxious about the Trump administration's ambiguity regarding NATO. "It's not good that the relationship is a bit shaky, but Finland is prepared to defend itself alone if needed," he said. "We did it before in the past."

Poland: 'Eastern Shield'

A Polish Army tank fires during an exercise near the Suwalki Gap in June 2026. Poland depends on force size to deter neighboring Russia.
A Polish Army tank fires during an exercise near the Suwałki Gap in June 2026. Poland depends on force size to deter neighboring Russia.

In November 2024, Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk visited the small village of Dąbrówka, near his country's border with the Russian exclave of Kaliningrad, to inspect the first stretch of a new fortification system known as the Eastern Shield. Standing before reinforced concrete anti-tank barriers known as hedgehogs, Tusk delivered a message aimed at both Poles and Moscow. "I don't have to explain to anyone that this border must be guarded exceptionally carefully," he told reporters.

At the time, Polish television reported that the first section had been completed ahead of schedule. And yet, a year and a half later, with the project roughly halfway to its 2028 deadline, the hedgehogs still stand behind Dąbrówka — but only a few hundred meters farther on, the visible fortifications end abruptly. A local resident said the activity around the border surged before Tusk's visit, then disappeared. "Before the prime minister's visit, dozens of trucks, cranes and troops passed through here day after day, week after week," the resident said. "After the visit, complete silence. The operations simply stopped."

If Finland's answer to uncertainty is national readiness, Poland's is concrete barriers, sensors, drones and one of Europe's fastest-growing armies. Since Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Warsaw has recast itself as NATO's frontline state: buying weapons at a pace few allies can match, expanding its army, and pouring billions into new defenses along its borders with Belarus and Kaliningrad.

While Germany has long focused on quality, Poland stands for mass and speed.Prof. Carlo Masala

The message is meant to be unmistakable — to Moscow, to Washington and to Europe — that Poland is preparing not for a distant theoretical threat, but for the possibility that war could come sooner than many Western capitals assume. Yet along parts of the very frontier where that deterrent is supposed to take shape, the gap between Poland's military ambition and the physical reality on the ground remains visible: fortifications appear, then stop; materials sit in warehouses; and local residents say the building frenzy has given way to quiet.

Poland is the largest country on NATO's eastern flank and the alliance's biggest defense spender by share of GDP. Warsaw had already exceeded NATO's 2% target before Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine; this year, it is set to spend 4.8% of GDP on defense even as its economy continues to grow.

At the start of Russia's full-scale invasion, Poland sent more than 300 tanks from its own stocks to Ukraine, then moved to replace and expand its arsenal with off-the-shelf tanks, infantry fighting vehicles, support vehicles and rocket artillery from the United States and South Korea. Its army is NATO's third largest, behind the US and Turkey.

Border guards patrol a section of Poland's border with Belarus during a high-profile visit in June.
Border guards patrol a section of Poland's border with Belarus during a high-profile visit in June.

The sheer mass of the Polish military, combined with Warsaw's role as one of the world's largest buyers of US weapons, has earned Warsaw a reputation in Washington as a model ally. Even US President Donald Trump, while berating other European countries over defense, has regularly praised Poland. The US keeps thousands of troops in Poland, the vast majority on a rotational basis, an arrangement the Polish government is keen to keep as a deterrent to any Russian attack.

The country's importance to NATO is not just a matter of spending. Its size and location make it the alliance's central frontline state in any potential confrontation with the Kremlin. During the Cold War, West Germany was NATO's conventional bulwark against the Warsaw Pact. Today, Poland plays a similar role on NATO's eastern edge.

"While Germany has long focused on quality, Poland stands for mass and speed," said Carlo Masala, a professor at the University of the German Federal Armed Forces in Munich and one of Germany's most renowned security experts. "Because Warsaw does not rule out having to fight tomorrow. It is what is called 'fight tonight.'"

Tusk's Eastern Shield project is Warsaw's attempt to reinforce its defenses along its 800-kilometer (500-mile) frontier with Belarus, a close ally of Moscow's, and Kaliningrad, the heavily militarized Russian territory wedged between Poland, Lithuania and the Baltic Sea. Designed as a network of obstacles meant to slow an attack, channel Russian forces and buy time for NATO to respond, the system includes anti-tank and infantry trenches, concrete barriers, bunkers, drones, thermal cameras, mines and nearby military units, while also using natural obstacles such as swampy terrain. When completed, it is expected to cost about €10 billion ($11 billion) according to Poland's defense ministry.

Poland's military buildup is part of a large-scale, multi-billion-dollar new deterrence and defense system along NATO's eastern border. Known as the Eastern Flank Deterrence Line, it is planned to stretch from Finland to Romania. Brig. Gen. Thomas Lowin, deputy chief of staff for operations at NATO Land Command in Izmir, says the alliance will build up much larger stockpiles of weapons, ammunition and equipment in border states, while establishing an "automated zone" of sensors and robotized weapons to help halt Russian forces early in any attack.

Cezary Tomczyk, Poland's deputy defense minister and the official overseeing the project, called his country's part of the effort the largest fortification effort in Europe since World War II. "We are building a border that sees further, reacts faster and makes it harder for the enemy to act at every stage," he said. "Russia must know one thing: Every kilometer of potential aggression will cost more time, more equipment and more resources. The Eastern Shield is intended to raise the price of aggression to an unacceptable level."

At the end of the world

A section of Poland's border with Russia is laid with anti-tank obstacles, seen here in 2024. But along a farm nearby, the only obvious protection is a simple concertina-wire fence.
A section of Poland's border with Russia is laid with anti-tank obstacles, seen here in 2024. But along a farm nearby, the only obvious protection is a simple concertina-wire fence.

So far, however, along parts of the border, the Eastern Shield is still more promise than reality. Polish officials are reluctant to discuss delays, and not every element of the system is meant to be visible. But large sections of the border are not visibly fortified. A military facility near Dąbrówka warehouses large numbers of hedgehog anti-tank barriers, but since Tusk's visit to the village, none have been placed along the border.

Poland's defense ministry told the Global Reporters Network that engineering troops, using pre-positioned material from warehouses, would be able to erect fortifications along the entire border within seven to 14 days. But a logistics expert who has held senior military positions said some elements cannot be moved into place so quickly.

"Laying one kilometer of reinforced concrete hedgehogs takes anywhere from several weeks to several months, depending on terrain conditions," said the logistics expert, who was granted anonymity to discuss sensitive defense matters. "It took the army three weeks to fortify a relatively short section."

A short distance from Dąbrówka, an agritourism farm named "At the End of the World" welcomes visitors looking for a rural retreat. At the Russian border, less than 100 meters away, the only obvious protection is a simple concertina-wire fence and a scattering of warning signs.

The owner, Wioletta Bornejko, does not want the new fortifications to reach her meadow. "I hope they don't put up those concrete hedgehogs here," she said. "Even barbed wire scares away tourists. A neighbor recently closed down a similar business." Others in the area say the constant talk of war has already hurt local businesses.

The quiet is deceptive. Travel east from Dąbrówka and you'll reach the so-called Suwałki Gap. Ben Hodges, a retired general who served as the commander of US Army Europe, has described this short stretch of Polish and Lithuanian territory separating Kaliningrad from Belarus as NATO's Achilles' heel. The fear is that a Russian attack could try to close the corridor from both sides, cutting Poland and the rest of NATO from the Baltic states to the north.

Farther east, Poland's border with Belarus stretches some 420 kilometers (260 miles). There, the limits of the current defenses are even more evident. "I don't see any other fortifications here," said one soldier from a brigade serving on the border.

Much of the border is protected only by a 4-meter-high (13-feet-high) fence built in 2022. Erected to stop migrants from crossing into Poland, it would offer little protection against tanks. Poland's defense ministry told the Global Reporters Network that it currently "has material resources that allow it to secure border sections with a total length of over 140 kilometres" — less than a third of the length of the frontier.

Drone wall

A February exercise showcased counter-drone systems that are part of Poland's drive to build a drone wall.
A February exercise showcased counter-drone systems that are part of Poland's drive to build a so-called drone wall.

Tanks and other traditional forces aren't the only thing Poland would have to worry about in case of a Russian attack. Anti-tank measures are of limited use when the weapons of choice fly far overhead and are cheap enough to exhaust conventional air defenses. And so the country is busy developing an anti-drone system it calls SAN.

Its development gained urgency after 19 Russian drones entered Polish airspace last year, forcing NATO aircraft to shoot them down with missiles from F-16 and F-35 jets — a response that cost millions of euros against drones worth a fraction of that. SAN is meant to allow Poland to defend against drones without relying on fighter jets. The system, sometimes described as a "drone wall," could cost up to €4 billion — accounting for about 40% of the entire Eastern Shield. "Russia is watching Ukraine," said Tomczyk, Poland's deputy defense minister. "So are we. We draw our conclusions faster."

Tomczyk said SAN would be Europe's largest and most advanced anti-drone effort. Within 24 months, he said, the Polish army is expected to receive 18 battery modules, including about 700 combat vehicles, radars, sensors and effectors, and roughly 350 systems to detect and counter aerial threats.

"It is not a single system," he said. "It is an entire architecture for drone defense." Construction of SAN began at the start of the year and is scheduled for completion by the end of 2027, after which it will be permanently deployed on Poland's eastern border.

For Masala, the security expert, the drone wall and the Eastern Shield are part of the same strategy: to slow a Russian attack long enough for NATO to react. "It is clear that the USA is withdrawing from Europe and that the Europeans currently lack deep-strike capabilities," he said. "So we have to ask ourselves which strategies make sense in the event of conflict."

"One is to aim at delaying the Russians. This is possible with the installations that Poland is building," he added. "The lesson from Ukraine is that not everything always has to be at 150 percent, but that 80% is sometimes enough."

Lithuania: 'The Baltic Defense Line'

German soldiers cross a path lined with anti-tank dragon's teeth during a June exercise in Lithuania.
German soldiers cross a path lined with anti-tank dragon's teeth during a June exercise in Lithuania.

In the office of Raimundas Vaikšnoras, Lithuania's chief of defense, a map of the country lies spread across a table. Marked on it are the positions of German and American troops near the Belarusian border — a reminder that, for Lithuania and its Baltic neighbors, national defense depends on allies being close enough to quickly join the fight.

Vaikšnoras, who has led Lithuania's armed forces since 2024, does not think a Russian surprise attack is likely. NATO warning systems, he said, make large troop movements difficult to hide. Lithuania watches rail hubs, logistics sites and when Russia and Belarus hold military exercises across the border, its armed forces respond in kind. "We organize exercises with equally strong or even stronger forces," Vaikšnoras said. "We mirror the movements of the other side."

Lithuania's chief of defense, Raimundas Vaikšnoras, said his country matches or exceeds the scale of Russian military exercises held nearby as a deterrent.
Lithuania's chief of defense, Raimundas Vaikšnoras, said his country matches or exceeds the scale of Russian military exercises held nearby as a deterrent.

But if Finland is preparing to fight alone if it has to and Poland is building an army capable of doing the same, the Baltic countries do not have that luxury. Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia are too small, too exposed and too close to Russia and Belarus to trade territory for time. Connected to the rest of NATO by the roughly 65-kilometer-wide (40-mile-wide) Suwałki Gap, they are vulnerable to being cut off by a lightning assault.

Their defense rests on a narrower calculation: make sure that NATO comes to their rescue. That makes them the most vulnerable to the Trump administration's unpredictability. And so the Baltic states have set out to bind their security as tightly as possible to the rest of the continent — through border fortifications, pre-positioned obstacles, allied troops on their soil and, above all, a German brigade meant to ensure that any Russian attack would immediately become a European war.

In any conflict in the region, the Kremlin would enjoy a clear advantage. Russian troops would be fighting virtually on their own doorstep, while NATO reinforcements would have to move across Europe — and in some cases across the Atlantic — before reaching the front. Kaliningrad compounds the problem. One of Europe's most militarized areas, the Russian territory is packed with air-defense systems, missiles and surveillance technology. In wartime, Russian military units based there could threaten NATO supply routes in the Baltic Sea and along the Polish-Lithuanian border.

Lithuania's vulnerability is on display near the village of Lavoriškės, where a red sign warns Lithuanian citizens not to travel across the frontier: "Do not risk your safety — do not travel to Belarus. You may fail to come back." The government closed the crossing in early 2024 on national security grounds. The border is lined with dense coils of razor wire, and rows of triangular concrete blocks — known as dragon's teeth — stand ready to stop enemy tanks.

The fortifications are part of the Baltic Defense Line, a joint defense project by Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania. Along NATO's eastern frontier, the three countries are preparing anti-tank ditches, bunkers, defensive obstacles and — more controversially — minefields. Like Finland, the Baltic countries have moved to leave the Ottawa Convention, which prohibits such weapons.

"These obstacles make it harder for an attacker to simply roll through," said Ralph Thiele, a retired colonel and chairman of the Political-Military Society in Berlin. "They have to stop, bring in combat engineers and clear a path."

If Russian forces break through, they would have "open terrain," Thiele added.

Forward defense

US soldiers trained with allies at Lithuania's Pabradė Training Area in May.
US soldiers trained with allies at Lithuania's Pabradė Training Area in May.

Vaikšnoras, Lithuania's chief of defense, does not pretend his country can defend itself alone. The border fortifications are intended to slow Russians down, channel enemy forces onto predictable axes of advance and buy time for a response.

The defense of the Baltics relies on how long they can hold out — and, crucially, how quickly NATO can reinforce them.

There are already about 3,000 soldiers from other NATO countries in Lithuania, he said in February, including German, Norwegian, Dutch and American troops. Since then, however, the rotational deployment of more than 1,000 US soldiers has ended. Unlike previous rotations, no follow-on force has yet arrived, as Washington reviews its military posture in Europe.

This, again, underscores the role European allies are playing on NATO's eastern flank. The most important addition is the German brigade, due to be permanently stationed in Lithuania by the end of 2027, when it is expected to consist of around 5,000 personnel.

For years, NATO's presence in the Baltic states was largely based on so-called tripwire forces — that is, multinational units whose purpose was to ensure that any attack on the region would automatically draw the entire Alliance into the conflict. Today, NATO relies on forward defence. The aim is to defend every inch of Alliance territory from the outset. Still, the strategy continues to rely on reinforcements. It is unlikely that the troops stationed in Lithuania at present will be able to fight on their own indefinitely. How long they could hold out depends on how quickly additional NATO troops arrive, as well as on the scale and nature of a possible Russian attack.

The German presence is important because the old NATO assumption — that the US would automatically lead any response to a Russian attack — is no longer one Europe can take for granted. "I very clearly feel that we have strong allies by our side," Vaikšnoras said. "The fact that Germany has assumed a leadership role in NATO here is an important signal, including to our own population."

German Army troops moved through smoke during the Freedom Shield 2026 exercise in Lithuania.
German Army troops moved through smoke during the Freedom Shield 2026 exercise in Lithuania.

What such a leadership role could mean in practice was revealed by the outcome of a wargame conducted late last year by WELT, part of Axel Springer Global Reporters Network, together with the German Wargaming Center at the Bundeswehr University in Hamburg. The exercise tested how Germany would respond if Russia used a post-Ukraine ceasefire to threaten Lithuania — and if Washington declined to play its traditional role as NATO's leader.

For one day, former senior politicians, military officers, intelligence officials and security experts took on the roles of the German government, its allies and the Kremlin. The scenario began with Russian troops remaining in Belarus after an exercise instead of withdrawing as announced, then concentrating near Lithuania's border.

The result was sobering. While Team Russia moved quickly toward a limited invasion, the German side held crisis meetings and focused on recruiting allies and building political support — rather than preventing Moscow from achieving its military objectives.

The new NATO

Brig. Gen. Christoph Huber of the German Army emerges from a Puma infantry fighting vehicle during the Freedom Shield 2026 exercises in Lithuania in June.
Brig. Gen. Christoph Huber of the German Army emerges from a Puma infantry fighting vehicle during the Freedom Shield 2026 exercises in Lithuania in June. Germany plans to station a brigade in Lithuania by 2027.

In the old NATO, German hesitation would have mattered less. The US would have been expected to take command politically and militarily, moving troops, aircraft and ships while European governments aligned behind it. But as the US reduces its role in Europe, the defense of the eastern flank increasingly depends on a question the alliance has not yet fully answered: Is Europe ready to fight on its own?

Hodges, the former US Army Europe commander, has warned that, in a worst case — if NATO is caught by surprise and Polish troops are unable to provide support — the Baltic countries could have to fight for up to two weeks without additional reinforcements from more distant allies. That is the window of time in which their allies would have to react. German and Lithuanian officials reject the notion that such a scenario would come as a surprise. A Russian attack, they say, would be preceded by visible military preparations, allowing NATO reinforcements early on. Which indicators would trigger such a response is classified. According to that logic, however, reinforcement would require political leaders to act before an attack has actually started.

"What we are witnessing is the dissolution of NATO," Anders Fogh Rasmussen, a former NATO secretary-general, has argued. Europe must rethink its defense plans and build the capabilities to act without waiting for Washington. Europe needs "new defense plans and new military capabilities," he said.

That calculation is already shaping defense planning across NATO's eastern flank. Finland is making itself more difficult to invade. Poland is building up its military forces, fortifications and drone defense. And the Baltics are working to ensure they won't be left to fight on their own. Europe may not yet be ready to defend itself alone. But on its eastern frontier, it is already preparing for the day when it may have to start.

In Finland, Col. Ari Määttä, the Karelian brigade's deputy commander, was asked whether, with America's disengagement, NATO needs to become more European. "That's not a concern I have for my brigade," he said. "I focus on military preparedness. Ask the politicians."

Laura Kayali, Senior Defense Correspondent at POLITICO's Paris office, reported from Finland. Marcin Wyrwał, a journalist with Onet, and Philipp Fritz, Warsaw Correspondent for WELT, reported from Poland. Carolina Drüten, International Security Correspondent at WELT, reported from Lithuania.

The Axel Springer Global Reporters Network harnesses the resources of the company's newsrooms to publish ambitious scoops, investigations, interviews, opinion pieces and analysis. It allows journalists — including those from POLITICO, Business Insider, WELT, BILD, Onet and Fakt — to collaborate on major stories for an international audience of hundreds of millions across platforms: online, print, TV and audio.

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Saturday, 4 July 2026

As an AI startup CEO, I pay each employee $18,000 a year to live close to work, and the investment is worth it

Sebastian Jimenez
  • Rilla's CEO offers an $18K housing stipend to help employees live close to the AI startup's office.
  • Rilla is working on offering a gym, sauna, and cold plunge within its Williamburg office building.
  • Employees at the startup typically work 12 hours a day for six days a week.

This as-told-to essay is based on a conversation with Sebastian Jimenez, the CEO and cofounder of Rilla, an AI startup based in New York City that builds speech analytics software for in-person sales teams. Rilla relocated to Williamsburg, Brooklyn, in 2026. The essay has been edited for length and clarity.

I started Rilla in 2019 because I became fascinated with the creative process.

I used to do stand-up comedy in college, and I loved the idea of trying something, failing, getting feedback, and improving. That's what building a startup feels like.

That same mindset is part of why we now offer employees an $18,000 annual housing stipend if they live within about a 10-minute bike ride of our Williamsburg office. We want to remove friction from people's lives so they can spend more time in the flow.

We're one of the fastest-growing AI startups, but we're not trying to replace people. We're building what I like to call an Iron Man suit for salespeople.

That same philosophy shapes how we think about our own employees.

The flow state

Rilla has what many people would call an insanely hardcore culture.

I was deeply influenced by the book "Flow: The Psychology of Optimal Experience." The central idea is that one of life's purposes is to spend as much time as possible in a state of complete focus and immersion. That's what we optimize for.

We believe at Rilla that we need to create an environment where our employees are in the flow almost 100% of the time.

Our employees typically work 12-hour days and come into the office six days a week. We don't clock people in or out, and we don't force anyone to work here. We select people who want this kind of environment. Many of them are former Division I athletes, entrepreneurs, or people who have always pushed themselves to perform at a very high level.

I think those hours help cut out a lot of the extra fat in life. When you spend that much time working, you become much more intentional about how you use the rest of your day.

The new office space

Rilla Office Building
Rilla signed a 10-year lease for a penthouse office space at 25 Kent in Williamsburg.

As we grew to around 120 employees, we realized something was working against us: our office.

Most commercial buildings have sealed windows, which means CO₂ builds up throughout the day. Once CO₂ levels climb high enough, studies have shown cognitive performance can fall significantly. People think they're tired at 3 p.m., but often it's because they're breathing stale air.

That realization led us to hire Dr. Joe Allen from Harvard, one of the world's leading experts on healthy buildings. We toured around 20 offices looking for one with exceptional ventilation.

We eventually signed a 10-year lease for the entire penthouse floor at 25 Kent in Williamsburg because it has what Dr. Allen told us is the best ventilation system he'd seen in New York City. Clean air may sound boring, but if your business depends on creativity and focus, it matters.

Our benefits pay off

Every benefit we offer has one purpose: helping people stay healthy and spend more time doing meaningful work.

We're not trying to coddle people. A lot of companies offer perks that end up distracting employees. We ask ourselves, "Can this help someone get into the flow?"

That's why we pay for three meals a day. It's why we're building a gym with a sauna and cold plunge. And it's why we offer employees an $18,000 annual housing stipend if they choose to live within about a 10-minute bike ride of the office.

Commuting is one of the most annoying parts of people's day. If someone works 12 hours, sleeps eight hours, and works out for an hour, they don't have much free time left. I'd rather they spend that time with family, reading, or doing something meaningful than sitting on a subway.

Altogether, we spend roughly $37,000 per employee each year on housing, meals, and fitness benefits before you even include healthcare, retirement benefits, or equity.

We're fortunate that we can afford to invest that much because we're an extremely capital-efficient business. Each engineer generates roughly $4 million to $5 million in annual recurring revenue.

The housing stipend is optional, but about 80% of our employees take it.

Our goal isn't simply to get people into the office. It's to build an environment where they can do the best work of their lives. And if they stay at Rilla long enough, they usually end up pretty ripped, because they're eating well, working out, and spending their days in a culture that takes performance seriously.

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Friday, 3 July 2026

Americans spend a lot of time sleeping, working, and relaxing. Take our quiz to see how you compare.

Three-panel collage shows a person sleeping in bed, a person using a laptop, and a beachgoer in a sun hat.
Sleep, work, and leisure are three of the biggest ways Americans use their time.
  • From work to making meals and taking care of children, Americans can accomplish a lot in a day.
  • The latest American Time Use Survey results showed how people spent their time in 2025.
  • Take this quiz to see how your day compares.

What do you spend your day doing?

The Bureau of Labor Statistics published new results from the 2025 American Time Use Survey, showing how many hours a day, on average, were spent doing different primary activities.

Americans from young adults to Gen Xers devoted large chunks to sleeping, work-related activities, and leisure. Teens spent more time a day on educational activities than other groups, while people who were at least in their mid-60s spent more time than others on household activities. Men spent more time than women working, while women spent more time on household activities.

You can take the quiz below to see how your day compares to the survey results.

On average, personal care took up the most time; this category includes activities such as sleeping, showering, and hair care. Slightly more time was spent on this on the weekend and holidays than on weekdays — at 10.44 and 9.53 hours respectively. Household activities averaged about 2 hours a day, with food preparation and cleanup taking 0.7 hours. These averages include those who didn't participate in activities.

The new data also shows how workers spend their day. They're spending just as much time on personal care as on work. Full-time employed people spent 8.45 hours on a weekday and 5.49 hours on a weekend day working. People with at least a bachelor's degree spent fewer hours working than those with other educational attainments.

On days worked, employed full-time people spent about 3 hours a day on average on leisure and sports, about an hour on household activities, and about an hour on eating and drinking.

Women spent more time a day on average than men on housework, food prep, and caring for children. Meanwhile, men spent more time on lawn and garden care, working, and sports, exercise, and recreation.

As age rose, so did hours spent alone. Unemployed people spent more time alone than those working, 7.11 waking hours and 6.63, respectively.

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The AI infrastructure boom is sending these 5 stocks soaring

Workers at Iwai Cosmo Securities Co. celebrate the Nikkei Stock Average surpassing 70,000 points at the company's office in Tokyo, Japan.
Japan has emerged as one of the biggest beneficiaries of the AI infrastructure boom.
  • AI's biggest winners extend far beyond Silicon Valley's household names.
  • Hardware suppliers are soaring as spending on AI infrastructure accelerates.
  • Asian manufacturers dominate the world's best-performing non-US stocks.

The AI trade has spread well beyond Silicon Valley.

While Nvidia and the Magnificent Seven dominate headlines, many of this year's biggest stock winners are the companies supplying the hardware that powers artificial intelligence — and many of them are based in Asia.

"The current phase of AI development is overwhelmingly infrastructural," Allianz Research said in a recent report, as hyperscalers, governments, and corporations race to build AI infrastructure and expand computing capacity.

Many of those companies occupy critical positions in the AI supply chain. They make the components that allow advanced chips to store data, process information, and communicate at high speed.

The AI infrastructure boom has spilled over into equity markets. Despite volatility driven by tariffs, geopolitical tensions, and recession fears, investors have piled into manufacturers of memory chips, electronic components, and circuit board materials. Those moves have propelled stock markets in South Korea, Japan, and Taiwan to fresh record highs, outpacing gains in the US market.

These stock markets have been volatile in recent weeks, shaving gains off the three booming markets, but analysts remain upbeat.

"We think the semiconductor memory supercycle is still not fully priced in the North Asian markets of Korea and Taiwan," Goldman Sachs analysts wrote in a note on emerging markets, which doesn't include Japan, this week.

The bank expects South Korea and Taiwan to post the strongest earnings growth through 2027, though retail trading and shifting sentiment around AI could drive further market volatility.

These were the five best-performing non-US stocks tracked by MSCI's All Country World Investable Market Index during the first half of 2026:

1. Samsung Electro-mechanics

Unlike Samsung Electronics, which is best known for smartphones and memory chips, sister company Samsung Electro-Mechanics specializes in the behind-the-scenes components used in AI hardware.

The company produces semiconductor substrates that connect advanced chips to circuit boards and multilayer ceramic capacitors that help deliver stable power to high-performance servers.

As demand for AI accelerators has surged, so has demand for these components, helping lift the company's shares 660% in the first half of 2026.

2. Kioxia Holdings, Japan

Shares of Japanese memory-chip maker Kioxia climbed about 631% in the first half of 2026 as booming demand for AI data centers drove record earnings.

Spun off from Toshiba in 2017, the memory business was sold the following year to a Bain Capital-led consortium for about $13 billion before being rebranded as Kioxia in 2019.

The company makes NAND flash memory and storage products used in AI servers and cloud data centers.

As AI training and inference required ever more high-speed storage, investors bet demand would continue to outpace supply, helping Kioxia become Japan's most valuable company by market capitalization, around $300 billion.

3. Kingboard Laminates

Hong Kong-listed Kingboard Laminates' shares jumped about 535% in the first half of 2026 as investors bet on rising demand for AI hardware.

The company supplies materials used to make printed circuit boards, which allow chips and other electronic components to communicate with one another.

As AI data centers require more powerful servers that process and move larger amounts of data, demand has grown for higher-performance circuit boards and the materials used to make them.

4. Yageo Corporation

Shares of Taiwan-listed Yageo climbed about 357% in the first half of 2026 as investors bet on rising demand for AI hardware.

Earlier this year, the company completed its acquisition of Japan's Shibaura Electronics, adding temperature sensors that can help monitor heat in AI servers and data centers.

Yageo is also one of the world's largest manufacturers of capacitors and resistors, components found throughout AI hardware.

5. Unimicron Technology

Taiwan-listed Unimicron Technology's shares climbed about 345% in the first half of 2026 as demand for advanced AI chips surged.

The company makes printed circuit boards and IC substrates, which connect powerful processors to the rest of an AI server.

As chipmakers develop more powerful AI processors, demand has risen for these increasingly sophisticated components.

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Thursday, 2 July 2026

I tried 4 patriotic fast food promotions, and the best one captured the spirit of America's 250th birthday

Katherine Tangalakis-Lippert holds the box for a McDonald's fried apple pie
McDonald's brought its fried apple pie — which was discontinued in 1992 — back in time for America's 250th birthday celebration.
  • Fast food chains have rolled out limited-time promotions to celebrate America's 250th birthday.
  • I taste-tested patriotic desserts from McDonald's, Burger King, Krispy Kreme, and Wienerschnitzel.
  • The best dessert made sense for the occasion and felt timelessly American.

As America gears up to celebrate its 250th birthday, many fast-food chains are marking the occasion the way they know best: with limited-time desserts loaded with red, white, blue, and plenty of sugar.

I taste-tested patriotic dessert promotions from McDonald's, Burger King, Krispy Kreme, and Wienerschnitzel to see which chains delivered a worthy tribute to the nation's semiquincentennial.

Some leaned heavily on festive colors or flavors, others on nostalgic Americana. One stood out by doing both.

Krispy Kreme's USA-themed doughnuts
The doughnut display at Krispy Kreme

I have a soft spot for Krispy Kreme and fond memories of road trip doughnut stops with my family as a kid, my sisters and I savoring fresh-out-of-the-fryer rings in the back seat.

As an adult, I rarely visit the chain — in part because the nearest location is more than 20 minutes away, but I've also since found it's not as craveable as it once was.

With three semiquincentennial offerings this summer, each priced at around $3.39 in my market, though they're as low as $2.50 in others, I hoped the chain would make a comeback in my mind. I left disappointed, as it was the least favorite of my four stops.

Three seasonal, USA-themed doughnuts from Krispy Kreme

Two of the three doughnuts tasted exactly the same — plain rings with vanilla icing. One merely had sprinkles while the other had no additional toppings.

The third had a cookies-and-cream filling that I found cloyingly sweet, with no discernible cookie flavor to set it apart from the others.

All three, as part of their USA-themed decorations, featured highly concentrated food dye that stained my fingers and the corners of my mouth.

Don't get me wrong, they were doughnuts, and by no means unpleasant, but unfortunately, Krispy Kreme's patriotic treats looked more festive than they tasted.

Burger King's cinnamon apple pie and firecracker cookie pie
A Burger King cinnamon apple pie and firecracker cookie pie

Burger King's July 4th dessert menu includes its firecracker cookie pie as well as the "cinnamon apple pie," a direct competitor to its longtime fast-food rival, McDonald's apple pie.

The cookie pie was explicitly rolled out for America's 250th celebration and featured more festive packaging and decorations, while the cinnamon apple pie debuted earlier this year and will remain available while supplies last.

A spoonful of a Burger King firecracker cookie pie

I thought the firecracker cookie pie, with a sugar-cookie crust, vanilla mousse filling, and a whipped cream topping, was a bit one-note and overly sweet, though the mousse had a pleasant texture.

Although it wasn't to my taste, served cold, it felt like a refreshing, creamy dessert to be enjoyed on a hot summer day.

With a price tag between $2.99 and $3.59, depending on your location, it was slightly pricier than the apple pie, but I found the cookie crumbs and sprinkles on top were an added patriotic bonus that helped it stand out from the other desserts on the list without being too try-hard.

A Burger King cinnamon apple pie with a bite taken out of it

Burger King has offered handheld apple pie before — notably, it discontinued its Dutch Apple Pie in the summer of 2020 after its manufacturer stopped producing it.

However, McDonald's vastly outperforms Burger King in both total revenue and average store sales, and the pie seemed a perfect example of the competition: Burger King's version, while tasty, felt like it was trying to replicate the McDonald's classic rather than carve out its own lane.

Although the taste was very similar to McDonald's pie, the dough in Burger King's apple pie was denser, less flaky, and a little less flavorful; it also had larger bites of apple but a similar cinnamon taste in the filling. Priced at $2.13, with a range between $1.99 and $2.69 depending on location, Burger King's version was less expensive, but it didn't feel like a better value.

Wienerschnitzel's funnel cake
An apple pie funnel cake from Wienerschnitzel.

My most surprising stop was at Wienerschnitzel — a brand that has been around since the 1960s, boasting a menu of "Mmm-Merican" food, but one I must admit I am not particularly familiar with.

Their new menu item for the nation's 250th birthday includes a limited-time summer menu of hot dogs, corn dogs, and, for the first time, funnel cakes topped with apple pie filling, strawberry, or Oreo cookies.

I opted for the apple — since what's more American than apple pie? — and found myself going back for bite after bite of the treat.

A forkful of an apple pie funnel cake from Wienerschnitzel.

The funnel cake itself was well-fried, with crispy edges and a fluffy center, and the topping was the classic mix of sweet and cinnamon that you'd expect. It came with a layer of whipped cream topping that melted into the cake since it had clearly come straight out of the fryer.

At $6.45 after tax, this dessert was the most expensive that I tried — and they can run as much as $8.00 depending on flavor and location — but it was also the biggest, and could easily be split between two people and still be satisfying. It was also one of my favorites, and made me want to try more of Wienerschnitzel's offerings.

McDonald's fried apple pie
The packaging of McDonald's fried apple pie

Last seen nationwide in 1992, McDonald's fried apple pies' return this season made headlines for good reason.

When the golden-arched giant switched to baking their apple pies, fans lost the blistered, crispy crust you can only get from deep frying. Reviving the fried version in time for the nation's birthday was a deliberate (and, in my opinion, wildly successful) nod to McDonald's — and America's — roots.

I say this as someone too young to have tasted the original and therefore not biased by OG nostalgia: this thing slaps.

A McDonald's fried apple pie with a bite taken out of it, showing the filling

With the return of its fried apple pie, McDonald's once again proved why it remains at the top of the fast-food leaderboard. At $3.01, the pie was almost the least expensive treat I tried, but I would have happily paid a dollar more for how much I enjoyed it. If you're lucky, you can snag one in a lower-price market for as little as $1.99.

The crust is delightfully light and flaky, a step up from the baked version, while the filling delivers the iconic apple flavor you've come to know and love from the burger chain.

Served piping hot, it is a bit of a burn risk, but what's the 4th of July without a little fire?

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Wednesday, 1 July 2026

2 reasons there's a 'mom-cession' brewing in the US job market

A person wearing green clothes with stripes holds a child while looking out a window
Labor force participation has declined among women with the youngest child under 5.
  • It's tough to be a job-seeking mom with young children, and some may choose to leave the workforce.
  • Labor force participation has dropped for women with children under age 5.
  • Return-to-office pushes and childcare issues are two major factors.

When Fatema Ali was laid off from her IBM project manager job in 2024, one of her biggest concerns was how she and her husband would support their three children, the youngest of whom was 8 months old.

She hoped to find another job quickly. But she's still looking for full-time work.

A few months earlier, her husband had left his job to pursue a startup idea that wasn't yet generating income.

"I didn't want that pressure to show on my face," said Ali, who's in her 30s and lives in Texas. "I don't want my children to feel like there is anything wrong."

The past few years have been especially challenging for job-seeking moms with young children. As hiring has remained low, return-to-office pushes and ongoing childcare challenges have made it harder for some mothers to find jobs and stay in the workforce.

Heather Long, chief economist at Navy Federal Credit Union, described the situation as a "mom-cession," based on an analysis of job-market data by Matthew Nestler, a senior economist at KPMG. Nestler found that unemployment of college-educated women with at least one child under age 5 has increased, while their employment-to-population ratio dropped.

Nestler doesn't see the situation improving soon, as employers have been calling people back to the office, and childcare remains expensive or hard to get.

"It's really heartbreaking because we're in a moment of time, coming out of the pandemic, where women are experiencing record gains in the American labor force," Long said. "So it's particularly tough to watch moms of young kids unable to find opportunities at this moment, that this should be a boon for all American women."

The pressures on working moms

Nestler found labor force participation among college-educated women whose youngest child is under 5 has declined from December 2023 to May 2026. He said this group of women disproportionately benefited from increased pandemic-era flexible work arrangements, which were common in white-collar jobs. Meanwhile, participation has increased for women without children and for most groups of men.

Two big factors are making it harder for parents to stay in the workforce: Return-to-office mandates and the difficulty of finding affordable childcare. Casey Peeks, the senior director of Early Childhood Policy at the Center for American Progress, previously told Business Insider that almost half of young children in the US live somewhere without sufficient licensed childcare. "Childcare is too expensive, but it's also really hard to find," Peeks said.

A pandemic-era program in the 2021 American Rescue Plan Act helped childcare providers with wages, rent, and other costs. Nestler said the end of those funds in late 2023 led to a flattening of childcare employment.

"The dramatic expansion, especially of college-educated moms of young children's participation and employment coming out of the pandemic, overlapped directly with that recovery in the childcare sector," Nestler said.

For mothers balancing childcare responsibilities, return-to-office mandates have narrowed the pool of jobs that fit their needs. An analysis by staffing firm Robert Half found that just 4% of new job postings in the first quarter of 2026 were fully remote, compared with 19% that were hybrid and 77% that were fully on-site.

Moms with elementary-school-aged children are also having a difficult time. Prime-age women with at least a bachelor's degree whose youngest child is between 5 and 12 have seen labor force participation cool a little. "When the workday and calendar do not align with the school day and calendar, there's going to be more stress there," Nestler said. Meanwhile, the rate for college-educated women with a teenager as their youngest child has increased.

What can be done

Long said a loss of workplace flexibility has been brutal for moms and that there needs to be a middle-ground compromise between staff who want to work from home and CEOs who want workers back at office desks.

A Pew Research Center survey of US working parents in March found that 71% of those not self-employed said flexibility to work from home when needed would be very or extremely helpful to them, but only 23% said this flexibility is available to them.

Even with the benefit of remote work, parents still face challenges. About half of parents working from home most or all of the time told Pew it's difficult to balance work and family life, and said being employed makes it harder to be a good parent.

The survey also showed parents want access to childcare at work. "A majority (59%) of working parents with children 5 or younger — including 68% of working moms with a kid in this age group — say it would be extremely or very helpful to have onsite childcare at their workplace," Pew said. "But just 7% say this is available to them."

The US can also look to other countries' offerings. "The United States used to be a leader in women in the workforce, and we really fell behind for many years in the past decade, and countries like Japan and Canada surged ahead of us," Long said, adding that the solution was investing in subsidized childcare. For now, though, many US parents are left to navigate those challenges on their own.

Over time, Ali's husband returned to the workforce, easing the financial pressure on the family. As her children have gotten older, Ali said she's been able to devote more time to her career, splitting her efforts between her job search and a different startup opportunity she launched with her husband.

"Being unemployed hasn't felt like much of a break," she said. "When you're dealing with financial uncertainty, caring for children, looking for work, and trying to build something new, your mind is always racing."

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I've been a trucker for nearly 5 decades. AI made the job safer, but autonomous trucks still need to prove themselves.

Veteran truck driver Ingrid Brown said technology, from the cellphone to AI-powered dashcams, has made the job safer. Motive Ingrid Brown ha...